In the most recent presidential election, pollsters forecasted the wrong outcome. Many criticize pollsters for putting too much emphasis on the electoral “horse race”—who’s winning and by how much—rather the substantive issues of the day.
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- What is the proper role of polls in the electoral process?
- Did it surprise you to learn that the Texas Tribune is one of the largest polling organizations in Texas? Can voters rely on journalists to assess poll results accurately when the polling and the reporting are conducted by the same news organization?
- What makes the winner of an election particularly hard to predict when voter turnout is low?
- What do pollsters know about the reliability of Texans aged 18 to 24 in casting ballots on election day?
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