Pick one (1) of the following three (3) case study scenarios, then research and build your issue paper using the provided format on the PICT210 iLearn page. You may use an ‘intelligence estimate’ approach, employing intelligence preparation of the operational environment or battlespace (IPOE/JIPB), including centres of gravity analysis, or use other appropriate analytical approaches or parts of those approaches, such as: strengths, weaknesses, opportunities, threats (SWOT); Clausewitz ‘Trinity Analysis’; political, military, economic, social, infrastructure, information (PMESII); political, economic, social, technological (PEST); biographical, economic, sociological, transportation and telecommunications, military geography, armed forces, political, science/technology (BESTMAPS); and/or diplomacy, information, military, economic (DIME) levers of national power analytic approaches. Always consider and assess alternative predictive assessments or alternative futures when arriving at most likely & most dangerous course of action (COA) determination. Be critically minded and balanced, yet decisive at the same time, indicating your level of certainty and identifying key knowledge gaps.
Scenario 1. You are a Defence Intelligence Organisation (DIO) intelligence analyst and have been directed to build a comprehensive yet concise ‘Powerpoint presentation’ and ‘Issue Paper’ on the current North Korea situation. You will need to assess North Korea’s Nuclear and Ballistic Missile program capabilities and assess its intent to employ them: how, when and where — most likely and most dangerous courses of action (COAs). You have also been directed to include and assessment of the likelihood of North Korea giving up its nuclear weapons and under what circumstances — most likely and most dangerous North Korean courses of action (COAs).
Scenario 2. You are an Australian Security Intelligence Organisation (ASIO) intelligence analyst working in the counter terrorism division. You have been directed to build a comprehensive yet concise ‘Powerpoint presentation’ and ‘Issue Paper’ on the current situation concerning ISIS in the Middle East, specifically Syria and Iraq. As part of your analysis, you are to cover the current situation on the ground, including pockets of ISIS presence and resistance, and provide a most likely and most dangerous course of action (COA) assessment for the future of ISIS. You have also been directed to assess the number of Australian citizens who are fighting for ISIS and the likelihood they will return to Australia, as well as providing a brief threat or risk assessment of their activities once they return. Again, a predictive assessment is required to best
determine what preventative actions should be taken in Australia to protect its citizens from potential harm.
Scenario 3. You are an Australian Federal Police intelligence analyst working in organized crime and drug trafficking. You have been directed to research, analyse and deliver a comprehensive yet concise ‘Powerpoint presentation’ and ‘Issue Paper’ on recent crystal meth (Ice) trafficking via maritime vessels, originating from Ice labs in Guangzhou, southeast China. Assess drug traffickers’ methods of transporting Ice into Australia – maritime and air, small vessel, merchant shipping (containers), postal mail service, air freight, human mules or routing through third party countries. Then make a predictive assessment of most likely and most dangerous future courses of action (COAs) for these drug trafficking rings.
In "The Glass Castle" Jeanette recounts to us about the narrative of her life as she had lived it. She and her kin had carried on with an existence that she portrays as having a considerable measure of stressors. Her story has journal in which she demonstrates to the peruser that living with awful guardians and destitution don't generally establish that the children will lead a hopeless future similarly as their folks. In this book, Walls uncovers her life as troublesome amid her raising yet cherish existed inside the family. In this paper, we are subsequently going to take a gander at those stressors that the family experienced; Jeanette sees her mom leaving a dumpster with some slacked garments tied around her neck. Her mom lucky qualities a home to live in and this lives her with no decision however to search for wherever that she can lay her head and furthermore discover something that can fill her stomach. It is exceptionally tragic for Jeanette to see her mom along these lines as it would feel for anybody to watch their moms experience this kind of humiliations. Back in her youth life, Jeanette endures some genuine consumes as she bubbles wieners and her dress bursts into flames from the stove she is utilizing. This lives her to spend numerous days in a neighborhood doctor's facility close to her home territory in Arizona. Her folks end up being so unreliable as they don't take as much care as it would be envisioned even by the healing facility staff. The talk goes all through the healing facility however Jeanette does not examine this issue with the guardians. Her dad goes out on a limb of getting and sneaking his little girl out of the healing facility getting away from every one of the bills that he was planned to pay for the clinic to discharge the little girl. This happens even before she mends totally. The escape experience the family with no decision yet fleeing from the place where they grew up for they would very manage the low. They need to movement long separation and through hot deserts. They later settle in a few towns in which the father can't pay house lease and this influences them to continue clearing. The father turns into a boozer and can't clutch his activity in spite of his insight and ability on mechanical foundation. This makes the families life a horrendous experience loaded with neediness and issues that never reach an end. His guarantee to his kids to manufacture a decent house for the family bombs as he can't raise the sum to set up such a house. The father's conduct and disappointment experience the kids powerless and wind up asking their mom to work and convey nourishment to the table. Fortunately, the mother holds a degree in educating yet can't land herself a position for she is sluggish and the kids need to drag her out of bed. This conduct has severally influenced her free her to work in spite of the way that her local location lucky qualities qualified educators. She later secures an occupation however her compensation does not completely help the family. The father requests for her paycheck and spends the cash without anyone else benefits. This hopeless state continues occurring for quite a while living the kids to continue mulling over awkward hard boxes and watching their folks battle in day by day bases. The kids' paunches roll each time because of holder. They eat anything that would fill their tummies and not for having an adjusted eating routine feast like in different families. For this case, the mother needs to show them how to bring spoiled nourishment down their throat while they hold the noses.The family experienced these stressors and it influences their relationship since the children see the father as unreliable and cruel as they fear him. It additionally influences the spouse wife relationship since the mother needs to battle her better half day by day. The correspondence is on its negative side for the mother does not hold any capacity to battle for her entitlement to deal with the compensation she acquires. The youngsters additionally endure quietly as they need to spend their evenings on hard boxes however can't impart to the father and express their grievances. In spite of all neediness and stressors that they encounter, the family has a honest to goodness and solid love towards each other. They stay faithful and the family's dad Rex is extremely promising, delicate and insightful when dealing with his kids and spouse at whatever point he is calm. As Jeanette gives the peruser her diary, she clarifies her life so well to guarantee that she gives the genuine story that has encountered in her growing up. Jeanette and her kin develop in the most noticeably awful conditions that nobody can ever merit or consider yet it doesn't change their emotions towards their folks. They keep cherishing them without acknowledging how merciless they have been until the point when they grow up and develop (Jeannette, p134). Jeanette spends her adolescent life in the west side of Virginia where the father is compelled to withdraw to their home zone in the wake of encountering a hopeless life in Arizona. Here, the life of this family improves yet keeps on hitting its most noticeably awful focuses as they live under a rooftop that holes. Rex tries to repair the rooftop yet it doesn't benefit them in any way either. Actually, they additionally need to confront challenges as they have no place to arrange their junk and waste. The family is compelled to endure a foul condition as they arrange the losses in little gaps that they burrow. Nourishment likewise keeps on being another issue for they can't bear to purchase any and they nearly abandon it. Jean is compelled to go to secondary school and burrow scraps from the waste as her dad keeps on drinking recklessly not surprisingly. As their lives deteriorate and hopeless, Jeanette's mom winds up doing the most terrible things one can ever envision. Jeanette and her kin discover a ring made of precious stone and choose to offer it so they could purchase sustenance. The mother does not concur with this thought since she needs to keep up her nobility. This activity experience the family in the some condition of lacking sustenance and starving. Whenever Jeanette or her kin go out playing with different children, they are ridiculed and tended to as children who are wellbeing plague for they live in refuse places. Her family and their neighbors dependably battle for they continue singling out their distorted circumstance. Hours spent in school are additionally not favoring to her it is possible that; she needs to take other child's nourishment or stow away in the lavatory at lunch hours while the others take their sustenance. After lunch, she turns out and gathers the scraps and eats them for she must choose between limited options over it. She later becomes weary of this life and chooses to go to New York where she gets further examinations. She experience her family with the point of getting learning that will secure her a great job and empower her to deal with her family. While she is in New York, her dad gets sick and is admitted to the healing center experiencing Tuberculosis. She visits him and begs him not to leave the clinic before he completely recoups. Afterward, she gets a call from her folks that they were destitute and had no place to go. She chooses to move in with them for regardless she has incredible love for them notwithstanding the life they had offered in amid her youngster life (Jeannette, p100). Individuals around Jeanette dishearten her about this thought saying that it was bad to give the destitute a place to remain for it makes them sluggish and hesitant on finding their own home; his irritates her yet she doesn't demonstrate it to them. Jeanette is compelled to change going to a non-public school while her folks have no home. Rather, she picks to stay and deal with them however her siblings conflict with her choice disclosing to her that her mom claimed a ton of adornments she could offer and that she has a land in Texas where her significant other and her could go and live. Her significant other conduct does not change and she is compelled to live him. She has albeit kept a mystery arrive far from her family and when Jeanette finds this; she is extremely irritated with her. >GET ANSWER