1. Write a description of events in history you think were the most unpredictable. Explain why. Explain whether leaders could have done anything to prepare for such an event. Why, or why not? Describe events in history you believe were predictable but the warning signs were ignored due to blind spots or lack o imagination. Explain what leaders might have done to be better prepared for such an event. (1 page).
2. Summarize which trends and driving forces are the most important and will have the most impact on Blue Cross Blue Shield Massachusetts in 10 years. Are any of these inevitable or pre-determined?
3. Summarize which forces are least predictable and would have the most negative impact on BCBSMA.
4. Explain an unpredictable event that may have a significant positive impact on BCBSMA in 10 years and in 20 years.
