The rise and fall of learners

Graddol (2006, p.14) states as a key trend to be expected “the rise and fall of learners”. That is, he claims that “a massive increase in the number of people learning English has already begun, and is likely to reach a peak around 2 billion in the next 10-15 years. Numbers of learners will then decline.” (ibid, p.14) Bearing in mind this statement, complete the following tasks. TASK 1 - (1 PAGE) More than 10 years have gone by since the original statement. Find updated figures supporting or refuting the hypothesis. If possible, find sources for the last five years. • Justify the validity of your sources. To do so apply the CRAAP test proposed by California State University, which can be found here (https://library.csuchico.edu/help/source-or-information-good) TASK 2 - (1 PAGE) Present the updated figures in table form comparing them to Graddol’s statements and own figures. Analyze the evolution and state whether Graddol’s hypothesis has been sustained or refuted. Bear in mind: • How do you define English learners? • How do your figures count English learners? • Where do your sources come from (remember Task 1)? • Whether the trend has stop growing or not yet. TASK 3 - (1 PAGE) Based on the figures you had, propose your own claim to the future development of English as a Foreign Language. Take into account the figures you found, the materials of the class, the readings available in the campus and other external sources that you might deem relevant.